GoPro’s Quarter: Tactics VS Strategy

Just what kind of company is GoPro exactly?  Well, obviously, in spite of its recent difficulties, it’s a huge success.  How else can you characterize a founder and a company that recognized and created a new market, took the lead in it and built a billion-dollar business?  But having accomplished that, it now has to wrestle with being a consumer electronics/device company or an active outdoor, content/media company.

There’s really not much wrestling to do.  As I’ve been pointing out since they went public, they are in trouble if they can’t evolve from the first towards the second.  Right now, their capture devices (cameras) and the associated accessories generate all their revenue.  I’ve never seen a mention of any proprietary technology they own, and certainly their resources are not as great as some of their competitors.

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Good Things Happening at Spy.

You may remember that until a few months ago Spy, as a public company, was releasing the usual filings and I was analyzing them.  But they stopped releasing them and, though still public, its shares are now traded on the OTC pink sheets under the symbol XSPY.

As I wrote every quarter, I always liked the brand and thought they were doing most things right.  But I couldn’t quite see how they could be successful.  It’s beginning to look like they might have figured it out.

On July 15, they let fly with a couple of press releases.  One of them announced that they had converted $22.8 million of debt into convertible preferred stock.  As I’d write every quarter, that debt was effectively equity any way.  Now, they’ve acknowledged that and cleaned up the balance sheet.  I don’t recall all the terms and conditions of that debt, but certainly it stood in the way of any deals the company might make.  So on the one hand, the change is kind of window dressing, but on the other hand, it gives the Spy some flexibility going forward.

More impressive were the summary financial results they released for the six months ended June 30 2015 and 2016.

Revenues fell 14.9% from $17.25 million last year to $14.68 million this year.  Okay, so that doesn’t sound very impressive, but it is.  Here’s why.

Spy increased its gross profit margin from 53.4% to 54.1%.  Of course total gross profit declined with the fall in sales, but hold on.

Operating expenses fell from $8.88 to $7.27 million, or by 18.1%.  As a percentage of revenues, they dropped from 51.4% to 49.5% even with the decline in revenue.

The result, according to the press release, was that operating income rose from $150,000 to $671,000 and net income went from a loss of $927,000 to a profit of $443,000 for the six month periods.

What!?  On a 15% revenue decline they had a monster turnaround on the bottom line!?  What the hell is going on here?

Seth Hamos, who is the Chairman of the Board and Acting Chief Executive Officer, is the guy who owned most of the debt in the company.  He stepped in after Michael Marckx resigned.  Seth had at least two things going for him.  First, he wasn’t from our industry and apparently didn’t suffer from all the preconceptions we all have about THE WAY THINGS ARE.  Second, he looked and said, “Well, I’m not going to get my money back if the company keeps losing money, so I guess I better try something different.”

That’s not an actual quote, but it’s how I always feel when I walk into a turnaround situation- nothing is sacred.

I’m guessing a few sacred cows were slaughtered for the barbecue.  Probably stopped selling to a few people who weren’t paying, didn’t merchandise the product right, or where they weren’t earning a good enough margin.  Wouldn’t be surprised if the number of SKUs declined.  I’m guessing there was some panic among the marketing staff when Seth asked, “What the hell are we spending money on this for?”

Again, not an actual quote.

The wailing and gnashing of teeth no doubt continued as he sliced some of those expenses.  But let’s remember the premise here.  Continuing to fund losses was a non-starter.

I’ve been in that position myself.  There’s always another way to spend marketing money to support retailers.  It’s always considered critical.  But, with some limits, most of the time when you cut a chunk of it, you find that nothing bad happens- at least immediately.  An open question is whether any of those cuts might impact the brand’s results down the road.

As always, if your product is checking at retail at a good margin, the retailer will want it.  If it isn’t, they won’t.  Spy believes itself to be a specialty brand.  It looks, with the actions it’s taking, that the company is confirming that and is positioning itself accordingly.

Three other brief financial comments; First, Spy’s net operating losses means no income tax is payable.  Second, I’m guessing Seth isn’t taking a salary.  Not paying whatever they were paying Michael Marckx and not paying income taxes didn’t hurt the bottom line.  Finally, there was interest expense being incurred on the debt before it was converted to preferred stock.  The press release doesn’t mention a dividend payment on the preferred stock.  In the future, a decline in interest expense could result in another boost in Spy’s bottom line from an accounting perspective.

What Spy seems to be doing is pretty much what I’ve been recommending since around 2007; sales growth is harder to come by so focus on your distribution, gross margin and controlling operating expenses with the goal of improving the bottom line.  That’s consistent with building and protecting your brand in an industry where actual product differentiation is hard to come by.

I’m sure Spy figured all this out without my help, but it’s nice to have a poster child to point to.

Billabong Sells Sector 9 and Lets Fly with a Press Release

Well, the press release was back on June 3rd.  And the sale of Sector 9 was, I guess, a week ago.  Happily, it’s not my job to be timely, but to give you things to think about with the goal of maybe helping you do better business.

So let’s think about Billabong.  Back when CEO Neil Fiske took over, there was a decision early on to focus on their big three brands- Billabong, Element and RVCA.  Good decision, I thought.  Most recently, they’ve sold Sector 9 for US $12 million.  As I’ve written previously, I expect the sale of additional brands.  Some of them may be small enough that a formal announcement of the sale won’t be required.  Maybe they are already gone.

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Fun Times at Other Industry Retailers

At almost the same time Abercrombie & Fitch (owner of Hollister), Tilly’s, The Buckle, and Genesco (owner of the Journeys chain) released, in early June, 10-Qs for their quarters that ended April 30th.

I was going to do my usual thing and review each one separately.  But I was busy, too much time passed and honestly, there’s so much sameness to what our industry’s retailers are saying that I wasn’t sure anybody would want to read four separate reports.  Hell, I didn’t even want to.

So what I’ve done is gone through the 10-Qs and collected a few observations and some summary data.  It is, I think, enough.

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Another Tender Offer for Skullcandy- It Will Be Good to See the Brand Private

I imagine you are all aware that Incipio reached an agreement with Skullcandy on June 23rd to make a tender offer for the company’s common stock at a price of $5.75 representing a price of approximately $177 million.  That agreement allowed Skullcandy some time (until July 23rd) to see if it could find a better offer.

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The Impact of Market Consolidation

We’re all watching the continuing rationalization of our retail space.  I suppose “rationalization” is a way too benign sounding word for a process that includes bankruptcies, store closings, job losses, margin hits, too much inventory, and struggles to increase sales and even to stay in business.

As ugly as this continues to be, there are going to be opportunities for the brands and retailers who get through it.  I’m going to take some comments from Dick’s Sporting Goods most recent conference call to help us think about the upside and downside of the process.  Dick’s, I suspect, will do just fine over the medium to long term because with the demise of The Sports Authority, there just aren’t that many larger, national big box competitors left (Academy has like 200 stores in 15 mostly southern states.  Who else?).  Dick’s ended their most recent quarter with 647 Dick’s stores.  They also own Golf Galaxy and have some Field and Stream stores I guess.

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Preparing for Long Term Market Ambiguity; Zumiez’s April 30th Quarter

I’ve generally been a supporter of Zumiez’s strategy and believe they’ve done most things right.  So when I see them suffering right along with everybody else in a difficult (not nearly a strong enough word) retail environment, it really brings home to me just what we’re dealing with.

The numbers first, then the strategic issues.

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Is Everybody Pursuing the Same Strategies? Deckers’ Year and Quarter

The quarter and year ended March 31st weren’t great for Deckers.  Mostly, you’ve probably noticed, they haven’t exactly been great for companies I’ve written about in general.  What somehow got my focus as I read Deckers’ 10-K was the continued and, indeed, increasing sameness of what all the public companies are saying.

Let’s start with a review of Deckers’ strategies and goals before we move on to the financial results including a look at Sanuk’s continuing problems as part of Deckers.

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Skullcandy Founder Rick Alden Considering Transaction to Take Skullcandy Private

Skullcandy filed a form 13D today with the Securities and Exchange Commission announcing that founder Rick Alden was going to explore a transaction to take the company private.  To be clear, that doesn’t mean it will go private.  Here’s the relevant section of the 13D.

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VF’s Quarter: It’s Not Easy for Anybody Out There

VF filed its 10-Q for the quarter ended April 2nd on May 10th.  The results, while in line with expectations, showed VF under the same kind of pressure other public companies are dealing with.  Even their action sports segment, where most of their growth has been coming from, experienced very modest sales growth and reduced operating income.

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