Deckers’ June 30 Quarter; Continuing Problems with Sanuk

This is the first earnings release and conference call since Dave Powers, who was previously President, took over as CEO from Angel Martinez at the end of May.  He steps into the position at a time when Deckers, as well as other brands and retailers, are suffering from general economic conditions and the continuing growth of online.

Deckers’ sales for the quarter fell 18.4% from $214 million in last year’s quarter to $174 million in this years.

Read more

Skullcandy Files It’s 10-Q in the Middle of Going Private

Skull filed its 10-Q for the June 30 quarter on August 9th.   As you are probably aware, there are a couple of dueling offers to take the company private out there.  At this point, I’d be surprised if they didn’t end up private- I’m just not sure of the price or who the owner will be.

Because, I assume, of that pending and probable transaction, there was no conference call.  So my comments here are based on the 10-Q and press release.

Read more

VF’s June 30 Quarter: It’s Not Easy Out There for Anybody

After the results we’ve seen from VF in previous quarters and years, this quarter’s can only be characterized as disappointing.  Just goes to show you how difficult the market is right now.  They’ve got lots of company.

Total revenue rose just 0.75% to $2.445 billion.  VF ended the quarter with 1,461 brick and mortar stores worldwide. Direct to consumer business was up 6% in the quarter and accounted for 27% of total revenues.  “The increase in direct to consumer revenues…were due to new store openings and an expanding e-commerce business.”  The increase was not, apparently, due to higher comparable store sales or I assume we would have been told about it.  International revenue was 35% of total revenue.

Read more

Vail Buys Whistler; A Good Deal For Everybody?

You know, I always try to write things that identify a valuable business lesson.  The valuable business lesson here I guess is do what Vail did.  While I think there are a couple of interesting industry considerations, I can’t strategically fault this deal.  Vail by no means got a great deal with a price of a little over US$1 billion, but paying a fair price for a good property is the kind of combination that’s most likely to work out in my experience.

Read more

GoPro’s Quarter: Tactics VS Strategy

Just what kind of company is GoPro exactly?  Well, obviously, in spite of its recent difficulties, it’s a huge success.  How else can you characterize a founder and a company that recognized and created a new market, took the lead in it and built a billion-dollar business?  But having accomplished that, it now has to wrestle with being a consumer electronics/device company or an active outdoor, content/media company.

There’s really not much wrestling to do.  As I’ve been pointing out since they went public, they are in trouble if they can’t evolve from the first towards the second.  Right now, their capture devices (cameras) and the associated accessories generate all their revenue.  I’ve never seen a mention of any proprietary technology they own, and certainly their resources are not as great as some of their competitors.

Read more

The Potential Downside of Successful Brand Building in an Online World?

Branding, they tell me, is all about building a relationship between a customer and a brand.  That customer, theoretically, will have a bias towards your brand that encourages less consideration of alternatives, more purchases and, hopefully, less price sensitivity.  That’s the theory anyway.

It was, most of us would probably agree, a pretty good theory.  It was true for most brands to a greater or lesser extent at least some of the time.  Still is.

Read more

Good Things Happening at Spy.

You may remember that until a few months ago Spy, as a public company, was releasing the usual filings and I was analyzing them.  But they stopped releasing them and, though still public, its shares are now traded on the OTC pink sheets under the symbol XSPY.

As I wrote every quarter, I always liked the brand and thought they were doing most things right.  But I couldn’t quite see how they could be successful.  It’s beginning to look like they might have figured it out.

On July 15, they let fly with a couple of press releases.  One of them announced that they had converted $22.8 million of debt into convertible preferred stock.  As I’d write every quarter, that debt was effectively equity any way.  Now, they’ve acknowledged that and cleaned up the balance sheet.  I don’t recall all the terms and conditions of that debt, but certainly it stood in the way of any deals the company might make.  So on the one hand, the change is kind of window dressing, but on the other hand, it gives the Spy some flexibility going forward.

More impressive were the summary financial results they released for the six months ended June 30 2015 and 2016.

Revenues fell 14.9% from $17.25 million last year to $14.68 million this year.  Okay, so that doesn’t sound very impressive, but it is.  Here’s why.

Spy increased its gross profit margin from 53.4% to 54.1%.  Of course total gross profit declined with the fall in sales, but hold on.

Operating expenses fell from $8.88 to $7.27 million, or by 18.1%.  As a percentage of revenues, they dropped from 51.4% to 49.5% even with the decline in revenue.

The result, according to the press release, was that operating income rose from $150,000 to $671,000 and net income went from a loss of $927,000 to a profit of $443,000 for the six month periods.

What!?  On a 15% revenue decline they had a monster turnaround on the bottom line!?  What the hell is going on here?

Seth Hamos, who is the Chairman of the Board and Acting Chief Executive Officer, is the guy who owned most of the debt in the company.  He stepped in after Michael Marckx resigned.  Seth had at least two things going for him.  First, he wasn’t from our industry and apparently didn’t suffer from all the preconceptions we all have about THE WAY THINGS ARE.  Second, he looked and said, “Well, I’m not going to get my money back if the company keeps losing money, so I guess I better try something different.”

That’s not an actual quote, but it’s how I always feel when I walk into a turnaround situation- nothing is sacred.

I’m guessing a few sacred cows were slaughtered for the barbecue.  Probably stopped selling to a few people who weren’t paying, didn’t merchandise the product right, or where they weren’t earning a good enough margin.  Wouldn’t be surprised if the number of SKUs declined.  I’m guessing there was some panic among the marketing staff when Seth asked, “What the hell are we spending money on this for?”

Again, not an actual quote.

The wailing and gnashing of teeth no doubt continued as he sliced some of those expenses.  But let’s remember the premise here.  Continuing to fund losses was a non-starter.

I’ve been in that position myself.  There’s always another way to spend marketing money to support retailers.  It’s always considered critical.  But, with some limits, most of the time when you cut a chunk of it, you find that nothing bad happens- at least immediately.  An open question is whether any of those cuts might impact the brand’s results down the road.

As always, if your product is checking at retail at a good margin, the retailer will want it.  If it isn’t, they won’t.  Spy believes itself to be a specialty brand.  It looks, with the actions it’s taking, that the company is confirming that and is positioning itself accordingly.

Three other brief financial comments; First, Spy’s net operating losses means no income tax is payable.  Second, I’m guessing Seth isn’t taking a salary.  Not paying whatever they were paying Michael Marckx and not paying income taxes didn’t hurt the bottom line.  Finally, there was interest expense being incurred on the debt before it was converted to preferred stock.  The press release doesn’t mention a dividend payment on the preferred stock.  In the future, a decline in interest expense could result in another boost in Spy’s bottom line from an accounting perspective.

What Spy seems to be doing is pretty much what I’ve been recommending since around 2007; sales growth is harder to come by so focus on your distribution, gross margin and controlling operating expenses with the goal of improving the bottom line.  That’s consistent with building and protecting your brand in an industry where actual product differentiation is hard to come by.

I’m sure Spy figured all this out without my help, but it’s nice to have a poster child to point to.

Billabong Sells Sector 9 and Lets Fly with a Press Release

Well, the press release was back on June 3rd.  And the sale of Sector 9 was, I guess, a week ago.  Happily, it’s not my job to be timely, but to give you things to think about with the goal of maybe helping you do better business.

So let’s think about Billabong.  Back when CEO Neil Fiske took over, there was a decision early on to focus on their big three brands- Billabong, Element and RVCA.  Good decision, I thought.  Most recently, they’ve sold Sector 9 for US $12 million.  As I’ve written previously, I expect the sale of additional brands.  Some of them may be small enough that a formal announcement of the sale won’t be required.  Maybe they are already gone.

Read more

Fun Times at Other Industry Retailers

At almost the same time Abercrombie & Fitch (owner of Hollister), Tilly’s, The Buckle, and Genesco (owner of the Journeys chain) released, in early June, 10-Qs for their quarters that ended April 30th.

I was going to do my usual thing and review each one separately.  But I was busy, too much time passed and honestly, there’s so much sameness to what our industry’s retailers are saying that I wasn’t sure anybody would want to read four separate reports.  Hell, I didn’t even want to.

So what I’ve done is gone through the 10-Qs and collected a few observations and some summary data.  It is, I think, enough.

Read more

Agenda- Trade Shows, Brands I Saw and Possibly Random Thoughts

What I most liked about Agenda this time was how refreshingly inviting it was.  Lots of open space and perhaps wider aisles.  Maybe lighter?  Especially on Wednesday, there appeared to be a lot of traffic and people seemed upbeat.  Apparently that might have had something to do with getting a few days of sun after a pretty gloomy late June.

Still, I wondered if the openness wasn’t an indication of fewer brands taking booths or maybe taking smaller booths.  I didn’t talk to anybody who told me straight up how great business was and certainly the role of trade shows (not just Agenda) continues to evolve.

Read more